How Nations Become Fragile: An AI-Augmented Bird’s-Eye View (with a Case Study of South Sudan)

Download or read book How Nations Become Fragile: An AI-Augmented Bird’s-Eye View (with a Case Study of South Sudan) written by Tohid Atashbar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-08-11 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this study we introduce and apply a set of machine learning and artificial intelligence techniques to analyze multi-dimensional fragility-related data. Our analysis of the fragility data collected by the OECD for its States of Fragility index showed that the use of such techniques could provide further insights into the non-linear relationships and diverse drivers of state fragility, highlighting the importance of a nuanced and context-specific approach to understanding and addressing this multi-aspect issue. We also applied the methodology used in this paper to South Sudan, one of the most fragile countries in the world to analyze the dynamics behind the different aspects of fragility over time. The results could be used to improve the Fund’s country engagement strategy (CES) and efforts at the country.